National Weather Service forecast graphic 1-16-18

Quiet weather with a strong warming trend follows a snowstorm that dumped a record 4.5 inches on Madison on Monday and 6.9 inches total Sunday and Monday, according to forecasters.

South-central Wisconsin will see highs in the 30s by Thursday and 40s for the weekend, when the next storm could bring mixed precipitation Saturday night into Monday, the National Weather Service said.

The record snow for Jan. 15 in Madison had been the 3.8 inches that fell in 1943. Even with the 6.9 inches from the storm, Madison still has seen just 11.6 inches of snow this season (since July 1), 12.2 inches below normal.

In Madison on Tuesday, look for scattered flurries before 9 a.m., mostly cloudy skies, a high near 21 and north winds around 10 miles per hour.

Lake effect snow showers are predicted to bring an additional 1 to 2 inches to parts of eastern Wisconsin Tuesday morning, with a winter storm warning in effect for Ozaukee and Sheboygan counties until noon and a winter weather advisory for other parts of eastern Wisconsin until noon.

Overnight in Madison, the low will fall to around 2, with west winds at 5 to 10 mph, producing wind chill values of 5 below to 10 below, the Weather Service said.

Wednesday should be mostly sunny, with a high near 22 and southwest winds at 10 to 15 miles per hour, gusting as high as 25 mph and producing wind chill values of zero to 10 below.

Overnight Wednesday into Thursday, the low should fall to around 15, with the same southwest winds producing wind chill values of 5 to zero.

The Weather Service said chances for precipitation return at 30 percent Saturday night in the form of rain before 8 p.m., rain and snow through 10 p.m. and snow after 10 p.m.; 60 percent Sunday in the form of rain and snow; 80 percent Sunday night in the form of rain and snow; and 70 percent Sunday in the form of snow.

Skies over Madison should be mostly sunny Thursday and Friday, mostly cloudy Saturday, cloudy Sunday, and mostly cloudy Monday, with highs near 32, 40, 42, 39 and 30, and lows Thursday night through Sunday night around 20, 31, 31 and 27.

27 Storm Track meteorologist Branden Borremans forecasts cold weather in the wake of the storm followed by a warming trend, with light mixed precipitation possible Saturday night, an early mix changing to rain on Sunday, rain changing to snow Sunday night, and light snow Monday morning.

Borremans said skies over Madison should be partly cloudy Tuesday, partly to mostly sunny Wednesday, mostly sunny Thursday, partly sunny Friday, mostly cloudy Saturday, cloudy Sunday and Monday, and partly sunny next Tuesday, with highs near 20, 22, 34, 41, 40, 41, 31 and 30, and overnight lows around 3, 15, 21, 31, 33, 31, 15 and 20.

Monday’s high in Madison was 22 at 11:40 a.m., 4 degrees below the normal high and 32 degrees below the record high of 54 for Jan. 15, set in 1953.

Monday’s low in Madison was 13 at 11:59 p.m., 2 degrees above the normal low and 43 degrees above the record low of 30 below for Jan. 15, set in 1963.

Officially, 0.12 inches of precipitation was recorded at the Dane County Regional Airport on Monday, boosting Madison’s January and 2018 total to 0.39 inches, 0.22 inches below normal. The meteorological winter (December through February) precipitation total (rain plus snow converted to liquid) rose to 1.12 inches, 1.23 inches below normal.

Madison’s record precipitation for Jan. 15 is 1 inch, set in 1906.

Officially, a record 4.5 inches of snow was recorded at the Dane County Regional Airport on Monday, boosting Madison’s January and 2018 snow total to 7.6 inches, 1.4 inches below normal. For meteorological winter, Madison has received 11.3 inches, 8.4 inches below normal. For the snow season (since July 1), Madison has received 11.6 inches, 12.2 inches below normal.

Madison’s record snowfall for Jan. 15 was 3.8 inches in 1943.

Madison’s official snow depth is 2 inches.

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Online Editor for Capital Newspapers.